Finland 2026 heat-pump market index: what EPREL shows about brands, efficiency and price

Finland’s place in the 2026 EPREL heat-pump market

The EU heat-pump registry is now large enough to show clear market structure. Across EPREL, the current dataset contains 60,989 listed heat-pump models from 777 manufacturers, with an average SCOP of 4.55, average declared capacity of 9.3 kW and average outdoor noise of 61.3 dB (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Readers can inspect the live market index, the full EPREL catalog and the underlying methodology.

Finland sits inside that wider EU catalog as a cold-climate case rather than a separate product universe. The country profile records 4,407.92 annual heating degree days, a mean January temperature of -2.92°C and a mean annual temperature of 6.37°C, all consistent with the “colder” climate-zone label (country_profile / Eurostat tariffs (band DC/D2 latest); NASA POWER 30y normal; EEA grid CO₂; subsidies captured manually from official programme pages). That makes Finland one of the clearer test cases for whether catalogued heat-pump performance is aligned with structurally heat-led demand; the broader country comparison dashboard, Finland country profile and climate-zone explainer add context.

What the corpus does not provide is a Finland-only EPREL subset with model counts, local manufacturer counts or Finland-specific brand concentration. So the registry supports EU-wide rankings and Finland’s tariff/climate context, but it does not record how many of the 60,989 listed models are specifically active in Finnish retail or installer channels. Likewise, it cannot show Finland’s exact model breadth relative to the EU or a Finland-only Herfindahl-style concentration measure.

At EU level, the catalog is highly concentrated at the top. Daikin Europe N.V. alone accounts for 14,668 models, or 24.05% of all listings, with average SCOP 4.44 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). Mitsubishi Electric Europe B.V. follows with 5,575 models and 9.14%, average SCOP 4.51 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). JOHNSON CONTROLS HITACHI AIR CONDITIONING EUROPE SAS, SUCURSAL EN ESPAÑA has 5,207 models and 8.54%, average SCOP 4.18 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). Those three brands alone account for 41.73% of all listings when their published shares are summed from the corpus (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

Which brands dominate Finnish listings

The corpus does not contain Finland-only brand shares, so it cannot prove which brands dominate Finnish listings specifically. What it can show is which manufacturers dominate the EU catalog that Finnish buyers and installers browse in practice via EPREL and our manufacturer index.

Top manufacturers in the 2026 EPREL heat-pump dataset

(All figures: brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation)

Two patterns stand out. First, scale and efficiency are only loosely aligned. Bosch’s average SCOP of 4.69 across 3,602 models is above Daikin’s 4.44 across 14,668 models (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). Second, the largest catalog owners are not necessarily the highest-average performers: Hitachi’s 4.18 trails the overall EPREL average of 4.55 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation; market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API).

The Finland-specific question on each leading brand’s refrigerant mix and type mix cannot be answered from the supplied corpus. The registry block includes an EU-wide refrigerant count, but not brand-by-country combinations.

What types Finland skews toward, and how those types perform

At EU level, air-water heat pumps dominate the registry with 30,452 models, or roughly half of all listings, while air-air heat pumps contribute 21,065 models and heat-pump water heaters another 9,228 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Ground-water models total 213 and water-water just 31 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API).

Expressed as shares of the 60,989-model EPREL total, air-water represents about 49.93%, air-air 34.54%, hp-water-heater 15.13%, ground-water 0.35% and water-water 0.05% (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API).

EPREL type mix, EU-wide

(Computed from counts in market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API)

The corpus does not include a Finland-only type breakdown, so it cannot prove whether Finland over-represents air-water, air-air or ground-source equipment relative to the EU mix. Editorially, Finland appears classifiable as a market where cold-climate heating demand should matter more than cooling demand, but that is a climate inference, not a registry count. For type-specific browsing, our filtered air-water catalog, air-air catalog and ground-source leaderboard are the practical next step.

Efficiency, noise and capacity: the trade-offs by product type

The type-level performance data is clearer than the country split.

Average performance by heat-pump type

(type_efficiency / EPREL Public API · type aggregation)

On the available EPREL figures, water-water offers the strongest efficiency-noise combination: average SCOP 6.15 and average outdoor noise 42.0 dB across 31 models (type_efficiency / EPREL Public API · type aggregation). Ground-water is the next-best all-rounder on the data supplied, at SCOP 4.77 and 58.8 dB across 213 models (type_efficiency / EPREL Public API · type aggregation). Air-water sits slightly lower on efficiency and slightly higher on noise, at SCOP 4.54 and 59.8 dB across 30,452 models (type_efficiency / EPREL Public API · type aggregation).

That said, availability matters. Water-water is only 31 models out of 60,989 total listings, or about 0.05% of the catalog, so its headline performance is attached to a tiny slice of the market (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Air-water, by contrast, combines mass-market breadth with respectable average performance, which helps explain why it dominates the top-SCOP air-water leaderboard.

The registry does not provide SCOP for air-air or hp-water-heater in this probe, so no defensible cross-type ranking including those categories is possible here. The same caution applies to outdoor-noise values of zero in individual model records: the top-models probe reports several zeros, but those should be read as registry values, not field-measured silence.

Finnish prices, tariffs and subsidy context versus Europe

Finland’s household electricity price is recorded at €0.2254/kWh, with grid CO₂ intensity at 79.0 g/kWh (country_profile / Eurostat tariffs (band DC/D2 latest); NASA POWER 30y normal; EEA grid CO₂; subsidies captured manually from official programme pages). The country profile contains no household gas price and no recorded subsidy entries for Finland as of the snapshot date (country_profile / Eurostat tariffs (band DC/D2 latest); NASA POWER 30y normal; EEA grid CO₂; subsidies captured manually from official programme pages). The separate tariff-ratio table also shows gas price as null for Finland and therefore no electricity-to-gas ratio (price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester).

That means question 7 has a direct but limited answer: Finland’s electricity-to-gas tariff ratio is not recorded in the corpus, because a Finnish household gas tariff is missing in the source table (price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester). As a result, the dataset cannot say whether Finland is above or below the approximate 3.7 running-cost threshold without introducing external assumptions. Poland, at 3.71, is the closest explicit benchmark in the supplied table (price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester).

Relative to named European comparators, Finland’s electricity price of €0.2254/kWh is below Sweden’s €0.2711/kWh, France’s €0.2561/kWh, Germany’s €0.3869/kWh and Denmark’s €0.3312/kWh, but above Estonia’s €0.2303/kWh only marginally and above Norway’s €0.1922/kWh and Iceland’s €0.2019/kWh among non-EU Nordic comparators in the same table (price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester). Finland’s grid intensity of 79.0 g/kWh is low in absolute terms within a heating context, but the corpus does not provide a country-by-country CO₂ ranking, so no exact European placement can be claimed. The country comparison dashboard, subsidy index and official EPREL portal are the cleanest places to extend that comparison.

What the best EPREL models imply for Finnish buyers and installers

The headline SCOP leaderboard shows where the very top of the catalog now sits. The highest-SCOP model in the supplied dataset is Risch Kälte- und Klimatechnik GmbH OH I 4esr TWW W/W at SCOP 7.0, type air-water, minimum power 10.0 kW, with listed outdoor noise 0 dB (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog). Next comes Hoval Aktiengesellschaft 42 -Thermalia® twin (26) GW at SCOP 6.97, type air-water, 35.0 kW, 0 dB listed noise (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog). Among water-water units, Waterkotte GmbH CTC EcoTouch 525 (water/water) reaches SCOP 6.97 at 34.0 kW with 0 dB listed noise, and Waterkotte GmbH EcoTouch DS 5034.5 T (water/water) also reaches SCOP 6.97 at 34.0 kW (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog). A smaller-capacity example relevant to tighter sizing is NIBE F1153-4 1X230V W/W at SCOP 6.88 and 5.0 kW (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).

For Finnish buyers, the implication is not that 6.9-plus SCOP products are typical. They are not. The EU-wide average SCOP is 4.55, and air-water’s category average is 4.54 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API; type_efficiency / EPREL Public API · type aggregation). The implication is instead that the upper tail of the market is already far above the mean, especially in hydronic categories, which matters in a cold climate with 4,407.92 annual heating degree days (country_profile / Eurostat tariffs (band DC/D2 latest); NASA POWER 30y normal; EEA grid CO₂; subsidies captured manually from official programme pages). Readers wanting the live list can use the top SCOP leaderboard and the quietest models leaderboard.

On refrigerants, the current EPREL market is overwhelmingly led by fluorinated options in the supplied count table. R32 accounts for 13,935 listings, while R410A accounts for 1,896 and “R410” a further 10; R290 accounts for 537 listings (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). The market snapshot also puts the natural-refrigerant share at 3.27% (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). So low-GWP natural refrigerants are present, but still clearly minority technologies in the registered market. For direct filtering, see the R290 catalog, R32 catalog and our wider refrigerants reference. For energy labels, the dataset shows 23,466 models in class APPP, 16,845 in AP and 8,924 in APP (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API), and the APPP filter is the quickest way to browse that upper band.

Sources

• market_index_snapshot — Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API; snapshot 2026-05-09
• brand_share — EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation; snapshot 2026-05-09
• type_efficiency — EPREL Public API · type aggregation; snapshot 2026-05-09
• country_profile — Eurostat tariffs (band DC/D2 latest); NASA POWER 30y normal; EEA grid CO₂; subsidies captured manually from official programme pages; snapshot 2026-05-09
• price_ratio — Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester; snapshot 2026-05-09
• top_models — EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog; snapshot 2026-05-09

Continue reading

• Heat pump payback calculator — Framework for testing tariff assumptions against SCOP and installation cost.
• How to read EPREL heat-pump labels — A practical decoder for SCOP, sound power and energy classes.
• R290 vs R32 heat pumps — What the refrigerant shift means in the live European catalog.
• Air-to-water vs air-to-air heat pumps — A type-by-type comparison using performance and use-case differences.