2026 heat-pump brand shares in Austria vs Sweden vs Finland

Market structure in one snapshot: how big and concentrated are Austria, Sweden and Finland?

The comparison promised in the brief cannot be completed from the supplied corpus, because the registry extract does not include country-level EPREL model counts, country-level manufacturer counts, or country-specific brand-share tables for Austria, Sweden and Finland. EPREL totals are available only for the full indexed market, not split by those three countries.

What the dataset does show is the size of the broader indexed universe behind the comparison: 60,989 listed heat-pump models from 777 manufacturers, with an average SCOP of 4.55 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). The same snapshot shows a market dominated by a small group of large brands. The top five manufacturers account for 24.05% + 9.14% + 8.54% + 5.91% + 4.29% = 51.93% of all indexed listings (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation), while the top 10 account for 60.88% when the listed shares are summed across ranks one to 10 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

That concentration matters when reading any national market. Even where local preferences diverge, buyers usually encounter the same large catalog owners in the live EPREL catalog, the brand directory of manufacturers, and the wider market index. But the country-specific concentration question for Austria, Sweden and Finland remains unanswered here because the corpus does not expose those national tallies.

A second limit also needs to be stated plainly: the registry does not record “market share” in the sense of actual sales. It records listed models. This article therefore addresses listing share only, consistent with the methodology and with the public EPREL register.

Which brands lead each market, and do the same names dominate all three?

The corpus does not provide separate top-brand rankings for Austria, Sweden or Finland, so it cannot identify with numbers which brand leads each of those three countries individually.

What it does provide is the pan-European listing hierarchy that frames all three markets. Across the indexed universe, Daikin Europe N.V. holds 24.05% of listed models, or 14,668 units (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). Mitsubishi Electric Europe B.V. follows at 9.14% and 5,575 models (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). JOHNSON CONTROLS HITACHI AIR CONDITIONING EUROPE SAS, SUCURSAL EN ESPAÑA ranks third at 8.54% and 5,207 models (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). Bosch Thermotechnik GmbH is fourth at 5.91% and 3,602 models, while Ariston SpA is fifth at 4.29% and 2,618 models (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

That means the broad European catalog is not led by one Nordic specialist or one DACH specialist. It is led by a small multinational group with very large model portfolios. The next tier is materially smaller: ATLANTIC SOC FRANCAISE DEVELOP THERMIQUE sits at 2.49% and 1,516 models, Vaillant GmbH at 1.96% and 1,195 models, and BDR Thermea Group B.V. at 1.52% and 925 models (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

So the supported conclusion is narrower than the headline question: the same large pan-European names are clearly prominent in the indexed universe, but the supplied data does not quantify whether Austria, Sweden and Finland are led by those same brands or by different national mixes. For country-level context beyond model listings, the relevant tariff and climate baselines are visible in the country comparison dashboard and on the country pages for Austria.

Efficiency and performance: SCOP differences among the top brands and the market average

The all-market average SCOP is 4.55 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Against that baseline, the leading brands sit on noticeably different efficiency positions.

Among the top five by listing share:

This is one of the clearer findings in the corpus. The largest catalog owner, Daikin, is slightly below the indexed average on SCOP at 4.44 versus 4.55 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation; market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Bosch and Ariston, by contrast, sit above average at 4.69 and 4.66 respectively (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

Outside the top five, several smaller portfolios also score above the market mean: Vaillant averages 4.54, essentially level with the market; Ferroli 4.64; Gree Spain 4.65; Riello 4.60; and Gorenje 4.67 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API).

The corpus does not provide country-level SCOP averages for Austria, Sweden or Finland, nor country-specific SCOP averages for leading brands within each market. That means the question “how far above or below the national average do country leaders sit?” cannot be answered from this dataset.

For buyers comparing best-performing units rather than brand averages, the useful cross-check is the top SCOP leaderboard and the narrower air-to-water SCOP leaderboard.

Refrigerants and technology choices: R290 vs R32, and how the three countries split by type

Again, the country split requested in the brief is not present in the corpus. There is no Austria/Sweden/Finland refrigerant mix and no country-by-country type mix.

At market level, however, the refrigerant picture is stark. Models declared with R32 number 13,935, while R290 appears on 537 listings (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). R410A remains present on 1,896 listings, with additional spelling variants such as “R410a” on 49 and “R410” on 10 listings (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Natural refrigerants as a group account for 3.27% of the indexed market (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API).

That makes two points. First, the listed market is still overwhelmingly fluorinated rather than natural in 2026. Second, R290’s visibility is growing enough to matter commercially, but not enough in this dataset to describe the market as propane-led. The technical backdrop is in the refrigerants reference: R290 is propane with GWP 0, while R32 has GWP 771 and an F-gas phase-out date of 2027-01-01 in the reference table (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). R410A carries GWP 1924 with a 2025-01-01 phase-out date in the same reference table (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes; see also EU Regulation 2024/573).

By type, air-water heat pumps dominate the indexed universe at 30,452 models, followed by air-air at 21,065, heat-pump water heaters at 9,228, ground-water at 213, and water-water at 31 (market_index_snapshot / Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API). Average SCOP by type is 4.54 for air-water, 4.77 for ground-water, and 6.15 for water-water where declared (type_efficiency / EPREL Public API · type aggregation).

So the supported technological reading is this: any comparison between Austria, Sweden and Finland is happening inside a much larger market that is strongly air-water-led and still mostly R32-led. The corpus does not allow a numerical claim that one of the three countries is more propane-heavy or more ground-source-heavy than the others.

Price positioning: are the leading brands clustered in premium, mid-range or entry segments?

The corpus contains no pricing data at brand, model, or country level. It therefore cannot support a ranking of Austria, Sweden and Finland by premium, mid-range or entry positioning, and it cannot place the leading brands into price segments.

The nearest available proxies are efficiency, type and subsidy ceilings. Higher-SCOP portfolios such as Bosch at 4.69 and Ariston at 4.66 may correlate with stronger premium offerings, but the dataset does not record transaction price, list price, installer quote, or total installed cost, so that inference would go beyond the evidence (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

Readers who need economics rather than product-positioning labels are better served by the payback calculator, the sizing calculator, and the subsidy calculator.

What the country economics say: tariffs, subsidy ceilings and the running-cost case for buyers

This is the one area where Austria, Sweden and Finland can be compared directly from the corpus.

Austria has household electricity at €0.3272/kWh and gas at €0.1221/kWh, implying an electricity-to-gas ratio of 2.68 (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register; price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester). Sweden has electricity at €0.2711/kWh and gas at €0.2092/kWh, for a ratio of 1.30—the lowest ratio in the listed table (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register; price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester). Finland has electricity at €0.2254/kWh, but gas is recorded as null, so no electricity-to-gas ratio is reported (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register; price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester).

On pure tariff geometry, Sweden offers the strongest like-for-like running-cost case against gas because its electricity-to-gas price ratio is only 1.30 (price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester). Austria looks materially less favourable on that metric at 2.68 (price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester), though its subsidy ceiling of €23,000 is by far the strongest of the three in this dataset (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). Finland cannot be benchmarked against gas from this corpus because gas pricing is not recorded there.

Climate cuts the other way. Finland has the highest heating demand of the three at 4,407.92 HDD 18°C, ahead of Sweden at 4,242.38 and Austria at 3,309.19 (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). So Finland combines the lowest recorded electricity tariff with the coldest climate in this trio, but the gas comparison is unavailable. Sweden combines a cold climate with very low grid carbon at 14 g/kWh and the lowest electricity-to-gas ratio (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register; price_ratio / Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester). Austria pairs a relatively clean grid at 89 g/kWh with the most generous subsidy ceiling of the three (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register).

For buyers, that means the running-cost argument is strongest in Sweden where gas is the comparator, the upfront-support argument is strongest in Austria via Austrian subsidies, and Finland’s case depends more heavily on electricity-only or oil-replacement comparisons because the gas benchmark is absent in the registry-derived table. The broader 32-country context sits in the country comparison dashboard and the subsidy index.

Sources

• Househeating Pulse · Market Index v1, computed from EPREL Public API — snapshot 2026-06-12
• EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation — snapshot 2026-06-12
• Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register — snapshot 2026-06-12
• IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes — snapshot 2026-06-12
• EPREL Public API · type aggregation — snapshot 2026-06-12
• Eurostat household band DC (electricity) / D2 (gas), latest semester — snapshot 2026-06-12

Continue reading

• Heat pump payback calculator — Work through tariff, subsidy and efficiency effects before comparing installer quotes.
• How to size a heat pump correctly — A practical check on why catalog performance and real heat demand often diverge.
• R290 vs R32 heat pumps explained — The refrigerant trade-offs behind the current propane-versus-HFC shift.
• How to read EPREL heat pump data — A short primer on SCOP, energy classes, declared noise and model listings.