Belgium 2026 heat-pump brand share: what EPREL shows about the market

Belgium’s 2026 heat-pump brand picture in EPREL

For a Belgium-facing read of the market, the starting point is the EPREL-backed brand pool surfaced in the Househeating Pulse catalog. That pool contains 60,989 heat-pump models in total (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). The registry extract supplied here ranks only the top 15 manufacturers, so it does not disclose the full manufacturer count behind those listings; what can be said is that at least 15 manufacturers are present, and the top 15 alone account for 39,846 models, or 65.33% of the pool when the listed shares are summed (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

That matters for Belgian buyers because the apparent abundance in the live EPREL catalog is not evenly distributed. A few large suppliers dominate the visible product universe. The broader manufacturer index is long, but the Belgium-relevant ranking is front-loaded around a handful of groups with very different efficiency averages and refrigerant strategies.

For context, Belgium itself combines relatively high household electricity prices of €0.3499/kWh with gas at €0.0898/kWh (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). That cost backdrop makes brand mix more than a branding story: it shapes which combinations of SCOP, refrigerant and subsidy support are likely to pencil out on the ground. Readers comparing current offers can cross-check the Belgian market snapshot against the live country comparison dashboard, the Belgium country profile, and the current subsidy index.

Which brands lead by model count, and how concentrated the market is

The five largest manufacturers in the Belgium-facing EPREL ranking are Daikin Europe N.V., Mitsubishi Electric Europe B.V., JOHNSON CONTROLS HITACHI AIR CONDITIONING EUROPE SAS, SUCURSAL EN ESPAÑA, Bosch Thermotechnik GmbH and Ariston SpA.

By model count, the top 5 brands account for 51.93% of listings (24.05% + 9.14% + 8.54% + 5.91% + 4.29%) (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). The top 10 reach 60.89% when the listed shares for ranks 1–10 are summed (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). The top 15 reach 65.33% on the same basis (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

That is a concentrated market structure. Using a Herfindahl-style concentration measure based on the published top-15 shares, the sum of squared shares is about 786 points (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). Because the corpus does not provide the individual shares for every brand outside the top 15, this is a lower-bound HHI-style reading rather than a complete all-brand index; the omitted tail would add further points. Even so, the front end is clear: Daikin alone has 14,668 models versus Ariston’s 2,618, a gap of 12,050 models between rank 1 and rank 5 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation).

The ranking also shows that model breadth and average efficiency do not align neatly. Daikin’s average SCOP is 4.44 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation), below Bosch at 4.69 and Ariston at 4.66 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). So Belgium’s biggest catalog presence is not the same thing as the highest average seasonal efficiency. That distinction is easier to inspect in the leaderboards hub and in brand-specific catalog filters such as Daikin’s filtered catalog or Bosch’s manufacturer profile.

What the leading brands are selling: efficiency, model mix and refrigerants

Within the top 10, Bosch Thermotechnik GmbH posts the highest average SCOP at 4.69 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation), followed by Ariston SpA at 4.66 and Gree Spain Corporation SL at 4.65 if the view is widened to the top 12 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation). At the lower end of the top 15, Toshiba Carrier Europe S.A.S sits at 3.93 (brand_share / EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation), notably below the rest of the leading pack.

That spread suggests a practical Belgian reading. In a market where electricity is priced at €0.3499/kWh and gas at €0.0898/kWh (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register), a few tenths of SCOP matter more than they would in a cheaper-power system. Installers working through running-cost comparisons can test scenarios in the payback calculator and pair them with the sizing calculator.

On refrigerants, the corpus gives a declared EPREL usage count rather than a Belgium-only split by brand. That means the registry does not record, in the supplied extract, what fraction of Daikin, Mitsubishi, Bosch or Ariston models use each refrigerant. So the question of leading-brand refrigerant adoption by exact fraction cannot be answered from this corpus. What can be said is that the declared usage universe is heavily skewed toward R32, with 13,935 declarations (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes), followed by R410A at 1,896 declarations and an additional 49 entered as “R410a” plus 10 as “R410” (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). R290 appears 537 times, with two more “R290A” and one “R290a” spelling variants (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes).

This is one of the more useful reminders for Belgian readers: brand rank alone hides the more important technical divide between large R32 portfolios and much smaller propane portfolios. The underlying refrigerant reference also notes a GWP of 771 for R32 and 0 for R290 (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). For phase-down context, the corpus also records an F-gas phase-out date of 2027-01-01 for R32 in the relevant schedule table, while R290 has no listed phase-out date (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). The technical background is summarised in the site’s refrigerants reference and the EU’s F-gas regulation page.

R290 vs R32: how Belgium’s refrigerant adoption stacks up

Across the declared EPREL usage counts in the supplied corpus, R32 is the dominant refrigerant by a wide margin at 13,935 declared entries (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). R290 stands at 537 declared entries, plus three variant spellings combined (two “R290A” and one “R290a”), bringing the propane family to 540 declarations if those entries are grouped (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). R410A and spelling variants total 1,955 declarations when “R410A”, “R410a” and “R410” are added together (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes).

By those counts, R32 declarations are roughly 25.8 times as numerous as the grouped R290 family declarations, and about 7.1 times the grouped R410 family declarations (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). That does not prove Belgian sales share; EPREL listing volume is not a sales registry. But it does show the product-development centre of gravity still sits firmly with R32-heavy portfolios rather than a completed switch to propane.

The same corpus also shows that several legacy or unusual codes remain in the long tail, including single declarations for R23, R35, R33 and several older blends (refrigerant_universe / IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes). For Belgian homeowners, the practical point is not just environmental compliance. Refrigerant choice increasingly intersects with installation constraints, monobloc versus split design choices, service familiarity and future-proofing. The filtered R290 catalog view and broader heat-pump catalog are therefore more useful than brand rankings alone.

The highest-performing models in the Belgian-relevant pool

At the top end of EPREL SCOP rankings, the standout model is Risch Kälte- und Klimatechnik GmbH OH I 4esr TWW W/W with SCOP 7.0 and minimum power 10.0 kW (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog). Next come Waterkotte GmbH EcoTouch DS 5034.5 T (water/water) and Waterkotte GmbH CTC EcoTouch 525 (water/water), both at SCOP 6.97 and 34.0 kW minimum power (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).

Among air-water entries near the top are Hoval Aktiengesellschaft 42 -Thermalia® twin (26) GW at SCOP 6.97 and 35.0 kW, plus Master Therm tepelná čerpadla s.r.o. AQ30I-0WW at SCOP 6.97 and 13.0 kW, and Master Therm tepelná čerpadla s.r.o. AQ45I-1WW at SCOP 6.95 and 20.0 kW (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).

A few patterns stand out:

• The top-15 SCOP list ranges from 6.88 to 7.0 SCOP (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).
• Minimum capacity in that list ranges from 5.0 kW to 46.0 kW (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).
• All 15 top-ranked models carry heating class APPP (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).
• Outdoor noise is recorded as 0 dB for all 15 entries in this extract, which almost certainly reflects registry-data limitations rather than literal acoustic performance; the supplied registry output does not provide a usable comparative noise distribution here (top_models / EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog).

That last point is worth being explicit about. The corpus does not support a real-world noise ranking for this pool. For noise-specific browsing, the better route is the dedicated quietest models leaderboard, while the efficiency end is better captured in the top SCOP leaderboard and top SCOP air-water view.

Where Belgium stands versus nearby markets on tariffs, CO₂ and subsidies

Belgium is not an outlier on climate demand, with 2,934.26 annual heating degree days at 18°C (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). It is, however, a relatively expensive power market. Household electricity is €0.3499/kWh in Belgium versus €0.3869/kWh in Germany, €0.2665/kWh in Luxembourg, €0.2558/kWh in the Netherlands and €0.2561/kWh in France (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). Gas is €0.0898/kWh in Belgium, close to Luxembourg at €0.0891/kWh, below France at €0.1436/kWh and the Netherlands at €0.1719/kWh, but above Germany would be false here: Germany is €0.1223/kWh, so Belgium is lower than Germany on gas (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register).

The electricity-to-gas price ratio in Belgium is 3.90 when €0.3499/kWh is divided by €0.0898/kWh (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). That places Belgium above the approximate 3.7 break-even threshold referenced in the brief for a SCOP 4 heat pump. On that narrow tariff test, Belgium is just on the favourable side. But “just” is the key word: small changes in tariff design, fixed charges or actual seasonal performance can move the economics either way. That is why the site’s payback calculator and subsidy calculator matter more than generic average claims.

On carbon intensity, Belgium’s grid stands at 137 gCO₂/kWh, cleaner than Germany at 366 gCO₂/kWh and the Netherlands at 268 gCO₂/kWh, but dirtier than France at 56 gCO₂/kWh and Luxembourg at 53 gCO₂/kWh (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). So the Belgian decarbonisation case is solid, but not as strong as in the cleanest neighbouring grids.

Subsidy support is modest rather than aggressive. Belgium’s maximum listed heat-pump subsidy is €4,000 with one active scheme (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). That is below Germany’s €21,000, France’s €11,000 and Austria’s €23,000, but above the Netherlands at €2,750 (country_compare / Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register). Belgian buyers should therefore treat support as helpful, not transformative. The market story in 2026 is less about a single runaway brand than about a concentrated supplier base selling into a tariff environment where SCOP, refrigerant choice and scheme eligibility still decide the real-world result. Comparative country data is available in the country dashboard, while official tariff and emissions series sit with Eurostat and the EEA.

Sources

• EPREL Public API · brand-share aggregation — snapshot 2026-05-19
• IPCC AR6 GWP table; EU Reg. 2024/573 phase-out schedule; EPREL declared codes — snapshot 2026-05-19
• EPREL Public API via Househeating Pulse catalog — snapshot 2026-05-19
• Eurostat · NASA POWER · EEA · Househeating Pulse subsidy register — snapshot 2026-05-19

Continue reading

• Heat pump payback calculator — How to test whether Belgian tariffs and SCOP assumptions produce a workable running-cost case.
• Heat pump refrigerants explained — A practical primer on R290, R32 and the trade-offs hidden behind product labels.
• How to compare heat pump SCOP properly — Why headline efficiency numbers often need climate, flow-temperature and tariff context.
• Heat pump subsidies by country — A quick route into how Belgian support compares with Germany, France and the Netherlands.